Crop Insurance Episodes
Every Ag View Pitch conversation on crop insurance — summaries, key takeaways, and full transcripts.
Episode 757
Hold your breath: weekly market outlook, Mar. 9th-13th
Daniel Elsner separates headline rallies from fundamental ones, and stacks insurance and program payments onto cash sales to show total farm revenue.
Episode 741
Index funds and USDA preview
Joe Vaclavik separates trend-following hedge funds from long-only index funds, and explains why thin corn margins put the focus on basis and carry.
Episode 735
Rethinking your marketing plan: weekly market outlook, Dec. 22nd-26th
Jarod Creed explains why crop insurance and farm program payments can make a price rally shrink total farm revenue, and how to market around that.
Episode 725
2026 farm cash flow shift: Weekly market outlook Nov 10-14
Jarod Creed shows how insurance, farm programs and grain sales now arrive as one revenue bucket on very different timelines, and how to plan cash flow.
Episode 688
Strong crop, weak market: weekly market outlook July 14-18
Jeff Fichtelman explains why fundamentals stop driving price when farmers are undersold, and how crop insurance scenarios should shape your sales.
Episode 652
Will DOGE come after USDA next? - weekly market outlook: Feb. 10th-14th
Peter Meyer explains why a momentum-driven fund long is borrowed strength and why no marketing plan should depend on a government check arriving.
Episode 651
Evergreen crop insurance grain marketing 101
Steve Johnson and Jarod Creed show how to turn a revenue protection guarantee into pre-harvest sales, and why an insurance election is a marketing call.
Episode 642
Post report winner: old crop
Jarod Creed explains why a rally in old crop corn stalls new crop sales, and how interest, basis and insurance decide what waiting really costs you.
Episode 637
Breaking news: Congress to provide $31 billion in farm aid
Paul Neiffer breaks down the $30.78 billion package: about $10 billion in economic assistance at $43.80 an acre for corn, plus $20 billion in disaster aid.
Episode 618
Margin protection 101 explained
Jarod Creed explains margin protection: the 95 percent county revenue floor, 120 percent payment factor, 35 percent subsidy, and the September deadline.
Episode 614
Cautiously optimistic - weekly market outlook: Aug. 26-30th
Jarod Creed explains why a crop tour shows trend not yield, when the crop insurance floor stops protecting you, and why 2025 is the bigger risk.
Episode 608
Demand is heating up: weekly market outlook July 29th to Aug 2nd
Jeff Fichtelman says crop insurance is not a floor but an upside call, and explains why farmers who market beans robotically beat their own corn sales.
Episode 598
Hot weather rally possibilities: weekly market outlook Jun. 17-21
Jarod Creed turns a crop insurance guarantee into bushels you can market, and shows how far a rally must run to lift that guarantee to your cost.
Episode 595
The biggest market mover - weekly market outlook: May 28-31st
Jarod Creed explains minimum price selling, ties percent sold to your insurance coverage, and argues the bigger unmanaged risk is the next crop year.
Episode 594
Final House farm bill now goes to the Senate
Paul Neiffer breaks down the House farm bill: reference prices, a one-time base acre update, $155,000 payment limits, and 90% crop insurance coverage.
Episode 588
New farm bill debate: House vs Senate proposals
Paul Neiffer grades both 2024 farm bill proposals: the House lifts ARC to a 90% guarantee and 12.5% cap while the Senate cuts the AGI limit to $700,000.
Episode 579
Is there a spring rally ahead? Weekly market outlook, April 8-12th
Duane Lowry explains how your crop insurance coverage level decides how aggressively you sell, and why a survival year changes every marketing choice.
Episode 567
Margin protection update and walk-thru
Jarod Creed walks through margin protection math county by county, showing how a 120 percent payout factor turns the policy into a hedge on unsold grain.
Episode 566
Is a short-term bottom near? Weekly market outlook Feb. 26th - Mar. 1st
Jim McCormick explains how basis-contract deadlines and option expiration manufacture short-lived bottoms, and how to buy your own revenue floor.
Episode 563
Navigating bear markets
Matt Bennett sizes the fund short against farmer held bushels, explains why cash lags a board rally, and ties hedging to the moment you commit the cost.
Episode 561
Risk management season
Jarod Creed explains why a revenue guarantee only pays off if you sell against it, and how to calculate the gap between coverage and cost of production.
Episode 548
Where did the working capital go?
Jarod Creed sorts farms into three working capital buckets, names what drained 2023 balance sheets, and shows why cheap volatility argues for coverage.
Episode 538
Spooky season! Weekly market outlook: Oct 16-20th
Matt Bennett explains why insurance stops protecting you in mid-October, when storage pays, and how to sell forward after multi-year highs in grain.
Episode 537
Better than expected season - weekly market outlook: Oct. 9-13th
Jarod Creed prices the cost of carry at seven cents a month and explains why the insurance discovery price is only half of a harvest decision.
Episode 533
Will crop insurance save the day? Weekly market outlook: Sept. 25-29th
Jarod Creed explains why margin protection works like a subsidized hedge, and how to pair insurance coverage with grain sales to protect margin.
118 of 645 episodes · page 1 of 5