Cost of Production Episodes
Every Ag View Pitch conversation on cost of production — summaries, key takeaways, and full transcripts.
Feb 2020
Start your engines: Sunday night market outlook
Duane Lowry explains base rates, forced basis-contract selling and why long-range USDA baseline projections cannot drive a marketing decision.
Feb 2020
Why university custom equipment rates are not enough, or are they?
Chris Barron and Shay Foulk show how to appraise equipment with two dealers, apply the 25% rule, and find your real cost per pass before bidding work.
Feb 2020
Time tracking and its importance on your farm
Chris Barron explains why labor is 15 to 25 percent of production cost and how tracking hours by profit center shows where your farm really makes money.
Jan 2020
Sunday night market outlook 1-26-2020
Duane Lowry argues a market saturated with fear rarely marks the high, and explains why selling below your cost of production removes no risk at all.
Jan 2020
Labor, trucking, and China: an Iowa farmer's perspective
Erik Oberbroeckling runs 11 semis in an entity separate from his Iowa farm. He covers the liability line, the labor pool it buys, and a China trip.
Jan 2020
Start planning how to react: Sunday night market outlook 1-19-2020
Duane makes the case for mapping out your price targets before a rally arrives, so a fast move does not catch the whole operation flat-footed.
Jan 2020
Georgia, Alabama, and Florida producers: extra complexity, longer growing seasons
Three Pioneer agronomists on Georgia's 1.2 million cotton acres, hurricane losses, the shift to corn for 2020, and why collaboration matters there.
Jan 2020
Equipment efficiency and utilization: Brent Gloy, Agricultural Economic Insights
Brent Gloy explains earns and turns, why idle machinery drags down return on assets, and how heavy leasing can leave a farm with no equity left.
Dec 2019
Sunday night market outlook: a new year
Duane Lowry explains how to size the risk of holding unsold grain into a January USDA report, and why firm basis softens a bearish surprise.
Dec 2019
Merry Christmas market outlook
Duane Lowry separates selling because you hit your margin target from selling because you think price topped, and shows how to re-own upside on paper.
Dec 2019
Dick Wittman: importance of managerial accounting
Dick Wittman on why many farms overstate cost of production by 15 to 20%, how to book government payments and custom work, and how to set margin targets.
Dec 2019
Sunday night market outlook 12/1/2019
Duane Lowry explains why one-sided liquidation marks the end of a price move, and why a farmer with grain in the bin holds leverage he should keep.
Nov 2019
Sunday night market outlook 11/24/2019
Duane Lowry explains why locking basis surrenders leverage, and why a thin hedged elevator inventory puts the farmer in the stronger position.
Nov 2019
You thought your harvest was tough
Marc Cartwright reports 20 to 25 percent of North Dakota corn harvested, moisture at 27 to 30 percent, and test weights stuck near 50 pounds.
Nov 2019
Sunday night market outlook 11-17-2019
Duane Lowry explains why demand is the market's default excuse, how firm basis and spreads reward patient sellers, and why margin targets rule.
Nov 2019
Sunday night market outlook for the week of November 3rd
Duane Lowry walks through USDA baseline projections and why every farmer needs a plan for locking in profitable prices two and three years out.
Oct 2019
Sunday night market outlook: October 27, 2019
Duane Lowry shows why yields that beat expectations can still be low, and why last year's yield on your own farm beats APH as a comparison point.
Oct 2019
Harvest series: North Dakota, what a mess
North Dakota farmer Mark Belter reports zero acres harvested by late October, corn projected at 25 to 28 percent moisture on December 1, and drying costs.
Oct 2019
Harvest expands, but prices appear well supported
Duane Lowry and Chris Barron run the 2019 harvest math: yields off 10 to 15 percent, drying up $30 to $50 an acre, and the price needed to break even.
Oct 2019
Sunday night market outlook
Duane Lowry explains why he refuses to name a resistance level when market dynamics shift, and why your own yield and cost math beat any forecast.
Oct 2019
Big impact report: what does it mean?
Duane Lowry breaks down the October 2019 USDA report: corn yield 168.4, carryout 1.929 billion, bean ending stocks cut to 460 million bushels.
Oct 2019
Ag View Solutions: who we are, what we do
Chris Barron and Shay Foulk trace Ag View Solutions from Profit Manager to equipment cost per pass, business structuring, and farm peer groups.
Oct 2019
Dad's Wisdom: Tom Husnik
Tom Husnik on the four side businesses his family ran, why delivering the product earned premiums, and the cost-of-production rule his banker gave him.
Oct 2019
Pre-harvest: what you're forgetting
A John Deere dealer of 32 years names the pre-harvest jobs most farmers skip: head calibration, tire pressure, auger wear, and concave settings.
Oct 2019
Top 10 fall marketing tips
Ten fall marketing steps from Chris Barron: set a margin target instead of a price target, and convert MFP and insurance checks into cents per bushel.
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